I wrote this article in 1992 as a commentary on the past
and future of project management. Now, nearly a decade later one can marvel at
the advances that have been made, but wonder how much we have really learned
about project management in the intervening period.
What innovations are we likely to see in the theory
and practice of project management in the next ten years? How will efficiency
be improved, and what will be the key elements of project management circa 2000?
Will it even exist, or will it be supplanted by some new management fad?
If we are to gain any insight into the future of
project management, it behooves us to examine its evolution in the past. For
while project management as a "profession" with its current "technology"
may be the vogue of the late twentieth century, the problems of managing projects
have been around since ancient history.